Lockheed Martin reported mixed Q4 2024 earnings, with a record backlog but lower-than-anticipated figures due to classified program losses.
Lockheed Martin (LMT -9.18%), a major player in the defense and aerospace sector, faced a mixed quarter as it released its Q4 2024 earnings on Jan. 28. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $2.22, falling short of the estimated $6.62, translating into a significant miss due to challenges in classified programs. Total revenue for the quarter was $18.6 billion, slightly below analysts’ expectations of $18.87 billion.
Despite these challenges, the company experienced a robust order book, finishing the year with a record backlog of $176 billion, suggesting a positive trajectory ahead.
| Metric | Q4 2024 | Q4 2024 Estimate | Q4 2023 | Y/Y Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | $2.22 | $6.62 | $7.58 | -70.7% |
| Revenue (in billions) | $18.6 | $18.87 | $18.9 | -1.3% |
| Free Cash Flow (in millions) | $441 | – | $1,661 | -73.5% |
| Net Earnings (in millions) | $527 | – | $1,866 | -71.8% |
Source: Analyst estimates for the quarter provided by FactSet.
Understanding Lockheed Martin’s Business
Lockheed Martin is renowned for its role as a defense and aerospace behemoth, providing advanced technology products and services. Key programs include the F-35 Lightning II aircraft and various missile defense systems. The company’s business is concentrated across four primary segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space.
Recently, a significant focus for the company has been its classified programs and advancement in hypersonics technology. These initiatives position the company strategically within the defense sector, aiming to transition these projects into production phases, offering long-term growth opportunities.
Q4 2024 Performance Highlights
The quarter exposed challenges as Lockheed Martin faced a pronounced impact from its classified programs. Losses of $1.7 billion reported before tax in Aeronautics and Missiles and Fire Control dragged down operating profits, pushing the company’s EPS well below expectations. This challenge was partly due to complexities in managing confidential design projects, resulting in contract losses.
The Aeronautics segment saw a 5% increase in sales due to F-35 contractual deferrals, yet operating profits plunged by 43%, hindered by classified program setbacks. Similarly, Missiles and Fire Control exhibited a stellar 8% rise in net sales thanks to tactical missile programs; however, it encountered a notable drop from a $395 million operating profit to an $804 million operating loss.
On the financial health front, free cash flow dropped to $441 million in the quarter from nearly $1.7 billion a year earlier, influenced by substantial pension investments and classified losses. However, Lockheed Martin sustained its commitment to shareholder returns, distributing $6.8 billion through dividends and share buybacks over the year.
Despite these fluctuations, Lockheed Martin achieved record levels in its backlog at $176 billion. The potential for future earnings remains buoyant, driven by projects like the F-35 and classified ventures, suggestive of continued strong demand.
Looking Forward
For 2025, Lockheed Martin is projecting net sales between $73.75 billion and $74.75 billion, with an anticipated improvement in business segment operating profit. This outlook is reinforced by strategic endeavors to alleviate existing program issues and capitalize on government contracts and technological advancements.
Investors should keep an eye on how the company navigates supply chain hurdles and potential shifts in U.S. Government policies that have pivotal roles in Lockheed Martin’s performances. Furthermore, advancements in hypersonics and classified programs transitioning into production phases are expected to significantly impact future growth.
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